Terrafin is a real estate company dedicated to finding
unique real estate investment opportunities.
Terrafin's main office is located in Montevideo. Montevideo
is the capital of Uruguay, and seat of Mercosur, a free
trade association between Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and
Paraguay. We have offices and partners in Brazil,
Argentina, Chile, Equador and Paraguay.
Our objective is to find good investments for our
customers, and to help them with various administrative
matters. To do so we scout Mercosur and surrounding
countries for the best possible deals. The question that
investors often ask, is, why should I invest in South
America?
Because, as a rule, there are no speculative bubbles in the
regions we cover, for a host of reasons.
But, why should one invest in real estate, and how? Lately,
real estate has become a motive of interest for all. From
homeowners to builders, newspapers, realtors, everyone
seems to have an opinion about property: it's too
expensive, the bubble will pop, real estate prices will go
up more. Opinions differ, but few bother to do some global
comparative analysis. In our opinion the big real estate
bubbles, like the US and the UK are about to burst.
Real estate became a refuge for funds worried about the
stock market, and later, for money looking for superior
returns. On the long run, real estate is usually a good
investment. Notice the "usually", please. On the short run,
in order to obtain superior returns, an even more careful
analysis is required.
Comparative property price analysis is the base for a sound
investment. What point is there in doing countrywide real
estate analysis when we live in a global world? Shouldn't
the analysis be global?
Terrafin believes that proper real estate valuation is
essential in determining what property to buy, and where to
buy it. These are some of the many questions we ask for
each one of the available real estate investment
alternatives:
1. Demographics
Is the population in the property's region increasing or
decreasing? How is the age pyramid evolving? What is the
income and education level of new migrants?
2. Employment
Is unemployment moving up, down, or stable? What kinds of
jobs are being created?
3. Ownership
What percentage of homes are rented or owned? Are there a
lot of renters that can have access to credit? Are there
fiscal incentives or disincentives towards owning property?
4. Historical prices
Are property prices historically high? Are they high
compared to rentals, hotel nights? Are they high compared
to shares?
5. Real estate rental market
How is the real estate rental market? Lots of empty houses?
How about offices? If I buy and rent out a property, what
return will I get compared to a bank deposit? How much will
the bank lend me? How much do I save if I buy the property
and take a mortgage, compared to renting?
6. Interest rates
Are they high or not? Which way are they likely to go? If
they go up, will that impact the borrowers, and real estate
prices? If I fix a rate for a long period, will I be able
to afford the payments on my house?
7. Leverage
Are there a lot of borrowers? Are they leveraged? Are they
borrowing for property they live in? Borrowing for a first
home, holiday home? How do banks react when property prices
fall?
8. Supply and demand
What land and buildings are available? What real estate
alternatives exist in that region? Is that region unique?
9. Legislation and taxes
Are my assets protected? What taxes do I have to pay to buy
the property, to hold, and to sell? Are there incentives to
renting or to owning?
10. Exchange rates
Am I buying property in a country where the exchage rate is
undervalued, overvalued or at fair value?
11. Livable
If buying this property makes no business sense as an
investment, is it at least a house that I will enjoy living
in? Is it in a region where I can live safely with my
family? How will I be taxed? What is the cost of living of
that region? Is it at least a good place to spend my
holidays?...
11. The future
How will the region, where I am planning to buy, evolve in
the next 2 to 10 years? Is that likely to influence the
real estate market?
12. Geopolitical
Am I buying in a safe country? Am I a sitting duck when I
buy real estate?
And finally.....am I following the crowd when I buy real
estate? That is the key question. We do not follow the
crowd, we look for opportunities before they become
popular. And when that real estate we bought in the bad
days becomes popular...we sell it.
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